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formed in the tropical Pacific
Ocean. This favors lower wind shear
over the Atlantic Basin, allowing
storm clouds to grow and organize.
Other climate factors pointing to an
active hurricane season are warmer
-than-average water in the tropical
Atlantic and Caribbean, and
tropical multi-decadal signal, which
since 1995 has brought favorable
ocean and atmospheric conditions
in unison, leading to more active
“August heralds the start of the
most active phase of the Atlantic
hurricane season and with the me-
teorological factors in place, now is
the time for everyone living in hurri-
cane prone areas to be prepared,”
said Jane Lubchenco, Ph.D., under
secretary of commerce for oceans
and atmosphere and NOAA admin-
Across the entire Atlantic Basin for
the whole season – June 1 to No-
vember 30 – NOAA’s updated out-
look is projecting, with a 70 percent
probability, a total of (including
Alex, Bonnie and Colin):
14 to 20 Named Storms (top
winds of 39 mph or higher), includ-
8 to 12 Hurricanes (top winds
of 74 mph or higher), of which:
4 to 6 could be Major Hurri-
canes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of
at least 111 mph)
These ranges are still indicative of
an active season, compared to the
average of 11 named storms, six
hurricanes and two major hurri-
canes; however, the upper bounds
of the ranges have been lowered
from the
initial outlook
n late May,
which reflected the possibility of
even more early season activity.
“All indications are for considerable
activity during the next several
months,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead
seasonal hurricane forecaster at
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
“As we’ve seen in past years,
storms can come on quickly during
the peak months of the season.
There remains a high likelihood
that the season could be very ac-
tive, with the potential of being one
of the more active on record.”
Be prepared for the hurricane sea-
son with important information
available online at
and at
NOAA’s mission is to understand
and predict changes in the Earth's
environment, from the depths of
the ocean to the surface of the sun,
and to conserve and manage our
coastal and marine resources.
Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Aug. 5, 2010
Vessel Come
to the Quick Aid of
Rig Workers
In his 20 years as a boat captain,
Dan Shaw had never tried to rescue
an entire crew out of the water. But
on Thursday, he received a radio
alert that 13 workers from an oil
platform that caught fire in the Gulf
of Mexico were bobbing in the wa-
ter not far from the flames.
His boat was 25 miles away, one of
the nearest to the scene of the
emergency, and he volunteered to
find the floating workers, the New
York Times reports.
"We wanted to get to them as fast
as we could and make sure we did-
n't lose anybody," said Shaw, 59,
one of four workers aboard a 100-
foot service vessel, Crystal Clear.
By the time he arrived at about 11
a.m., Shaw said,
the men had been
floating for two
hours and had
been swept a mile from the still-
flaming platform.
They were wearing protective wet
suits and life jackets and linking
arms. The Coast Guard said that
fortunately the surface temperat
was 86 degrees about 80 miles
the Louisiana coast.
The men were pulled into Crystal
Clear, then transported to a near
oil rig and flown by helicopter to
hospital in Houma, La., the news
per reports.
The rescue contrasted with the A
evacuation of the Deepwater Hor
zon oil rig in the Gulf, when an ex
plosion killed 11 workers and tri
gered the largest oil spill in U.S. h
tory. In that disaster, witnesses
have testified, life rafts became
tangled and panicked workers
could not find knives to cut them
selves free.
Source: Soundings Trade Only Today
September 3, 2010
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